The province of Nampula, in northern Mozambique, may need approximately 40.8 million meticais to cope with the current rainy season (2023/24)..

According to the National Institute for Disaster Risk Management (INGD), this is the most likely scenario for the operationalization of the respective contingency plan, taking into account the expected phenomena and the population that could be affected.

Nampula province cyclically faces various threats such as cyclones, strong winds, floods and lightning strikes, which end up causing floods and displaced people.

The most likely scenario for the 2023-2024 rainy season in Nampula province is what the authorities call scenario two and is the combination of all the threats listed in scenario one (strong winds, localized flooding in towns and cities), plus the risk of flooding in river basins and cyclones.

According to the INGD, quoted by AIM, scenario two predicts that 95,477 people will be affected, 36,428 of whom will be internally displaced.

"The third scenario, considered the most critical, results from the combination of the situations described in the first two, plus the likelihood of earthquakes that could affect 105,337 people and assistance budgeted at approximately 50.8 million meticais," says the INGD, stressing that the biggest concern is humanitarian assistance to those affected in the first 72 hours after a disaster occurs.

The INGD is currently monitoring natural phenomena, early warnings, strategic pre-positioning of resources and assets, and mapping risk areas using drones.

In addition, the agency is identifying safe places for resettlement and temporary accommodation, epidemiological surveillance, rapid medical and paramedical care, actions it carries out in coordination with other social assistance sectors, such as health, education and infrastructure.

During the 2022-2023 rainy season, Nampula province experienced several cyclones.